Updated daily, InsiderOnline is a compilation of publication abstracts, how-to essays, events, news, and analysis from around the conservative movement. The current edition of THE INSIDER quarterly magazine is also on the site. Latest Studies
25 new items, including a Show-Me Institute expose on school administrator pay, and a Reason Foundation report on how to fix highway funding
Blog Entries
Got $16.1 billion? a bill with no name, get ready to read the Constitution, and more
Crime, Justice & the Law
• Grokster Redux: Why the Summary-Judgment Ruling in Viacom v. YouTube Should Be Reversed – Progress & Freedom Foundation
Economic and Political Thought
• The Great Depression and Keynes’s General Theory: Chapter 5 from The Clash of Economic Ideas – Mercatus Center
• The New Deal and Institutionalist Economics: Chapter 4 from The Clash of Economic Ideas – Mercatus Center
Economic Growth
• A Prescription for Export Growth—and Economic Recovery – The Heritage Foundation
• Cronyism: Undermining Economic Freedom and Prosperity Around the World – The Heritage Foundation
• Heritage Employment Report: July Jobs Scarce – The Heritage Foundation
• The President’s Worrisome Narrative to Discourage Homeownership – The Heritage Foundation
Education
• Pay for Performance in the Pittsburgh Public Schools: Will It Pay Off? – Allegheny Institute for Public Policy
• Success from the Sunshine State: When Illinois Schools are Failing, It’s Time to Copy Florida’s Winning Strategies – Illinois Policy Institute
• Reforms with Results: What Oklahoma Can Learn from Florida’s K-12 Education Revolution – Oklahoma Council of Public Affairs
• Actual Pay: A Survey of Missouri Public School Superintendent Salary and Benefits Package – Show-Me Institute
Family, Culture & Community
• You're Teaching My Child What? The Truth About Sex Education – The Heritage Foundation
Foreign Policy/International Affairs
• The Kampala Aftermath: The U.S. Should Remain Wary of the ICC – The Heritage Foundation
• Honesty for Hire – Hoover Institution
Health Care
• Medicare Trustees Issue Report Disavowed by Chief Actuary – The Heritage Foundation
• Taking Control of the Health Care Debate: Avoiding the Mistakes of the 1990s – The Heritage Foundation
• When You Need a Hospital, Will It Be There?: The Stifling Impact of Illinois’s Certificate of Need Program – Illinois Policy Institute
National Security
• How to Defeat the Drug Lords at Last – Hoover Institution
Natural Resources, Environment, and Science
• Critical Lessons from the Federal Response to the Gulf Oil Spill – The Heritage Foundation
Regulation & Deregulation
• The Failure of Control States to Reduce Alcohol-Related Problems – Virginia Institute for Public Policy
Retirement/Social Security
• 2010 Social Security Trustees Report: Reform Needed Now – The Heritage Foundation
Transportation/Infrastructure
• Restoring Trust in the Highway Trust Fund – Reason Foundation
Blog Entries What Arabs Think of the United States
President Obama’s hopes for a “new beginning” for U.S. relations with the Middle East has not produced a positive shift in Arab opinion toward the United States. In fact, the 2010 Arab Public Opinion Poll shows that only 16 percent of Arab’s polled express optimism about U.S. foreign policy, while 64 percent express pessimism. Shortly after President Obama’s Cairo speech last April, 51 percent had expressed optimism. But here is the figure that should really worry U.S. policymakers: According to the poll, a slight majority now sees a nuclear-armed Iran as positive for the Middle East. Heritage’s Helle Dale says one positive step would be for the State Department to focus a little more on the terrible human rights situation in Iran and in the Arab countries, and a little bit less on training young Arabs to use Twitter.
An Entrepreneurial Solution to Corruption
Outsourcing some government functions can help developing countries overcome corruption, suggest Kris Mitchener and Noel Maurer in the Hoover Digest. In particular, they write about the positive results that a number of countries have experienced from turning over the administration of revenue collection to foreign entities. The U.S. government actually did this for the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and Nicaragua in the early part of the 20th century. Today, the British non-profit Crown Agents has been contracted by Angola, Mozambique, Latvia, Kosovo, Macedonia, and Bulgaria to run their customs services. The results have been very positive:
In Angola, revenue jumped more than 50 percent in the first year of operation (2001), doubled in two years, and tripled by 2004, during a time when oil prices remained low and Angola lowered tariffs to meet commitments under the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade. Mozambique saw a similar increase. In Bulgaria, revenues jumped 19 percent during the quarter in which teams led by Crown Agents began operating.
Why does this work?
Crown Agents officials face a completely different set of incentives from officials in a high-corruption government. Crown Agents employees risk losing attractive, high-wage career paths and damaging the credibility of their organization should they decide to engage in or tolerate corrupt behavior. Because the agents had an incentive to maximize revenue collection and punish corrupt behavior, Angola was able to break the corruption equilibrium in customs, generate greater public revenue, and show the way to further reforms.
Aid to States Outpaces Overall Fed Spending
It’s not just the size of the federal government that should concern citizens, but the scope of its activities, too. The chart below (Bloomberg’s chart of the day, uploaded at The Big Picture blog) provides one indicator of how much that has expanded. Federal aid to the states often comes with strings attached, which has shifted states from being sovereign entities into being more or less administrative arms of the federal government. Federal aid to the states has grown even faster than overall federal spending over the last century.
Coming Up: Values Voter Summit
Don’t forget the Values Voter Summit, which is coming up on September 17 – 19. The event includes a lot of interesting panels and talks, including one on how much economic conservatives and social conservatives have in common. You can learn more about that from our post on it last month.
Goldwater Institute Sues Obamacare
The Goldwater Institute has filed a legal challenge to Obamacare. This is a private lawsuit separate from the challenge that 22 states have launched against Obamacare for intruding on state powers to regulate insurance. Here is the first part of the filing summing up the case:
The federal government does not have the constitutional power to mandate that Plaintiff Nick Coons and other American citizens purchase health insurance, much less surrender their medical privacy and autonomy, as a condition of living in the United States. Further, it is a violation of the letter and spirit of the United States Constitution to burden the legislative voting powers of Arizona state legislators … to coerce implementation of federal health care regulations. Moreover, Congress has no constitutional power to delegate nearly unlimited legislative power to any federal executive branch agency, much less to entrench health care regulations against review, debate, revision or repeal by Plaintiffs Jeff Flake, Trent Franks and John Shadegg or any other elected U.S. Representative or Senator.
Such federal overreaching must be rejected if the principles of limited government and the separation of powers established by the United States Constitution mean anything.
What If Things that Have No Chance of Happening Happen? Asks Medicare’s Actuaries
As the New York Times tells it, Obamacare has added 12 years of solvency to Medicare’s financial projections. That’s on the authority of the latest set of projections by the Medicare trustees. It appears, however, that the Times reporter didn’t actually read the report very carefully, because if she had she couldn’t have failed to notice that it was a report that disclaimed the very set of projections it was offering.
Why would such a report be issued at all? Every year, the Medicare trustees are required to report on the programs’ solvency based on how the program will be run under current law. Obamacare purports to achieve savings in Medicare by reducing payments to providers. But as Richard Foster, Medicare’s chief actuary, explains in the report, those planned cuts in reimbursements cannot happen without severely restricting the supply of providers who are willing to participate in the program. Foster writes:
By the end of the long-range projection period, Medicare prices for hospital, skilled nursing facility, home health, hospice, ambulatory surgical center, diagnostic laboratory, and many other services would be less than half of their level under the prior law. Medicare prices would be considerably below the current relative level of Medicaid prices, which have already led to access problems for Medicaid enrollees, and far below the levels paid by private health insurance. Well before that point, Congress would have to intervene to prevent the withdrawal of providers from the Medicare market and the severe problems with beneficiary access to care that would result. Overriding the productivity adjustments, as Congress has done repeatedly in the case of physician payment rates, would lead to far higher costs for Medicare in the long range than those projected under current law.
The projections also make unrealistic assumptions on the tax side, as James Capretta points out:
Initially, the law’s steep payroll-tax hike of 0.9 percent of wages will apply only to individual taxpayers with annual incomes exceeding $200,000 and couples with incomes exceeding $250,000. But those income thresholds will not increase with general inflation in the economy. Consequently, as the years pass, more and more Americans, including the middle class, will pay it — at least that’s the theory. Overall, the Medicare tax hikes in the new law are expected to raise about $1.4 trillion over 75 years, in present-value terms. But that assumes America’s middle class will placidly accept the return to the bad-old days of “bracket creep.” A more realistic assumption would be that elected leaders will come under pressure in short order to prevent such a massive tax hike on the middle class and respond accordingly, much as they do today in trying to minimize the tax hikes associated with the alternative minimum tax.
Read the Constitution, Especially on September 18
Do you care about what’s in the United States Constitution? Some people wonder about things like: Can the government really can force everyone to buy health insurance. If you are one of those people then you need to make sure you know what the Constitution says so that you can be informed about that debate.
On September 18, 2010, thousands of citizens across the country will participate in public readings of the U.S. Constitution. The readings are expected to take about an hour. Even if you already have a good knowledge of what the Constitution says, participating is a great way to promote greater awareness among your fellow citizens. So check out the Web site, WeReadtheConstitution.com, to sign up to host a reading, or find out where a reading is being held near you.
Senate Passes Bill with No Name
Last week the Senate was so eager to hand out another $26 billion in bailouts that it forgot to name the bill it passed to provide that funding. The version of the bill that was passed, H.R. 1586, can be seen at Thomas, Congress’s legislation tracking site, with the title “_______Act of______.” Apparently, in the process of amending the bill, placeholder text was used for a new title and was never fixed before the Senate voted on the bill. As noted by WashingtonWatch.com, which first reported the oversight on Sunday, in order to rename the bill, the Senate would have to return from its break and vote on an amended version. And if the House passes the same bill but includes a title, then the Senate will have to vote again on that version. Under the Constitution, the Senate and the House have to pass identical versions of a bill before it can be presented to the President for signing into law. So the country may well have a law titled the “_______Act of______.” These are the folks spending your money.
In order to meet future Social Security obligations in perpetuity, the government would need an extra $16.1 trillion invested today, according to the latest report of the Social Security Trustees. That figure represents the funding gap over and above the revenues that will be generated by the payroll tax system in the future. The more commonly cited figure is the 75-year deficit which now stands at $7.9 trillion. As Heritage’s David John explains in his recent paper, the higher figure for the in-perpetuity calculation means that Social Security’s deficits continue to grow beyond 2084 and that proposals to close the 75-year gap—such as adding two percentage points to the payroll tax—are not sufficient to fix the problem. For more on what the latest trustees’ report means, see David John’s paper, “2010 Social Security Trustees Report Continues to Show the Urgency of Reform,” published by The Heritage Foundation, August 5, 2010.
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| It’s Coming: The Obama Tax Hike |
While many are watching the ongoing health care debate, senior members of the Senate Banking Committee continue to work toward a legislative deal that would put into law a permanent approach to regulating, and bailing out, financial institutions. The result could be a permanent TARP-like structure.
Here are some resources to help better understand the plans currently being discussed.
VIDEO: Making Sense of the Obama-Frank Plan
Links to Heritage Resources:
Using Bankruptcy and Capital Standards to Address Financial Institutions That Are "Too Big to Fail"
Consumer Financial Protection: Thinking Outside the Boxes
Treasury to TARP Inspector General: Drop Dead
Severe Weather Warning for Commercial Real Estate: New TARP Not the Answer
The Volcker Rule: Not the Solution to Reducing Financial Risk
Financial Reform: Dodd's Even Bigger Government Solution to Financial Risk
TARP II: The Sequel Is Never Better
Using Bankruptcy and Capital Standards to Address Financial Institutions That Are "Too Big to Fail"
Here is the wrap-up article on the health care summit from four Heritage health care experts. This quote from James Capretta may best sum it up:
Nothing fundamental changed today. A strong majority of Americans is dead set against enactment of the bills Congress has been developing. They are rightfully concerned about the risks that a large and expensive new entitlement program will pose for future tax rates and deficits. They want Congress to go much more slowly and make sure that whatever is done improves matters and doesn’t make things worse.
You can read how Heritage analysts reacted to events at the health care summit in “real time” throughout the day Thursday by clicking here.
Here is also a link to the first post of the day from Heritage’s blogger-in-chief Conn Carroll, the Morning Bell, Someone Needs to Tell The President His Health Care Plan Is Dead. As well as former Congressman Ernest Istook comments on the President’s home court advantage.
Other Summit Resources:
* Check out this You Tube VIDEO with a focus group conducted by Frank Luntz on the summit. Nearly all of the participants want Congress and the President to start over again on health care.
* For a detailed live blog account of the summit from the Daily Caller - http://dailycaller.com/2010/02/25/live-blogging-the-white-house-health-care-summit/
* Lead stories: Washington Post, New York Times, Wall Street Journal
* Conservative blog accounts: Red State and Hot Air.
* Roundup of more blog commentary: http://blog.kaiserhealthnews.org/index.php/2010/02/25/taking-in-the-summit/
Also During the Summit:
* The Joint Committee on Taxation released a preliminary analysis of the Obama plan as increasing taxes by $414 billion.
* Heritage analysts looked at how the Obama plan would implement price controls.
* Heritage comments on taxing investment income.
And, links to more Heritage Resources:
VIDEO: Want Health Care Summit Success? Start Over.
VIDEO: Obamacare Doesn’t Help Young Adults
The President’s Health Summit Proposal: Rhetoric vs Reality
The President's Health Proposal: Taxing Investments Undermines Economic Recovery
The Health Care Summit: Getting Reform Done Right
The President's Health Reform Proposal: More Like $2.5 Trillion
"Bending the Curve": What Really Drives Health Care Spending
The President’s Health Proposal: Further Jacking Up the Cost of Care
Obama’s Health Plan – Taxes, Taxes Everywhere
Can They Make Obamacare Worse? Yes They Can!
A First Look at the President’s Health Summit Proposal: Liberal Proposal Number Three
New But Unimproved: Abortion Funding in the White House Health Plan
The White House Learned Nothing from Massachusetts
Obamacare Bends the Cost Curve Up: Here Is How to Bend It Down
New County Health Study Reinforces Need for Federalism in Health Reform
Cash-Only Docs: A Promising Advancement in Consumer-Driven Health Care
Obamacare and Health Care Nuclear Option Violate First Principles
Since taking the oath of office just over a year ago, the President passed a so-called “economic stimulus,” bailed out the U.S. automakers, administered a “cash for clunkers” program, and continued the Wall Street bailout program.
Over that time, The Heritage Foundation has been tracking the Obama “jobs deficit” – a measurement of the jobs President Obama said we would have by now versus our actual employment numbers. The deficit now stands at 7.7 million jobs as of December. (Click on the image below for a larger version of the graph.)
At this point, the President’s agenda still includes a tax on banks, so-called “green jobs” from a cap and trade/EPA regulatory plan that would at the same time eliminate millions of current jobs, allowing the Bush tax cuts to expire, and a government takeover of one-sixth of the economy – also known as health care reform.
Be sure to check out Heritage’s blog – The Foundry on Wednesday night and Thursday morning for our complete analysis of the President’s speech.
You can start by reading a commentary from Heritage’s President, Dr. Edwin Feulner, on the The State of Our Union.
If you are on twitter, you can join the Heritage State of the Union conversation by using the hashtag #Heritagesotu.
If you are on facebook, you can join the live chat on our wall starting at 8:30pm. www.facebook.com/heritagefoundation
In conjunction with the Wall Street Journal, Heritage has also just released our 2010 Index of Economic Freedom. The United States fell from 6th in last year’s rankings to 8th this year. We are no longer judged to be “free” when it comes to economic conditions, but instead we are now “mostly free.” (Imagine if our National Anthem would now be sung, “o’er the land of the mostly free.”)
The full text and data associated with the rankings are found on our website here.
The Latest Heritage Research and Commentary (links):
The Nebraska Compromise and the Constitution
Squeezing out Private Health Plans
State Sponsors of Terrorism: Time to Add Venezuela to the List
The Copenhagen Conference: A Setback for Bad Climate Policy in 2010
Small Business Impact of the EPA Endangerment Finding
Obama's "Financial Crisis Responsibility Fee": Not Responsible, Not a Fee
Majority of Union Members Now Work for the Government
Mandatory Paid Sick Leave: The Heritage Foundation 2010 Labor Boot Camp
The Employee Free Choice Act: The Heritage Foundation 2010 Labor Boot Camp
Rescue, Rebuild, Restore - A New Foundation for Prosperity The President is going to talk directly to the American people about restoring security for middle class families after a lost decade of declining wages, eroding retirement security and escalating health care and tuition costs. The President will talk to the American people about steps we need to take to build on the work we did this past year to bring the economy back from the brink of a depression. While the worst of the economic crisis has passed, for too many American families and businesses the wreckage remains. He’ll call on Congress to pass a jobs bill to jumpstart private sector job creation with: § Investments in small businesses, § Investments in Green Jobs and clean energy; § Investments in road, bridge, rail and port projects; and § Policies to spur more exports of American manufactured products. The President will talk to the American people about meeting the challenges that have hurt middle class families, and those who aspire to it, by building a New Foundation of prosperity for American families and businesses. He’ll call on Congress to pass Education reforms that transform families and strengthen the country; He’ll call on Congress to pass meaningful Financial Reforms that hold Wall Street accountable, makes sure no bank is ever too big to fail and provide clear rules of the road that give the American consumer the clear information they need to make financial decisions; He’ll call on Congress to enact Energy Reform that creates the jobs of tomorrow, increases our energy independence and reduces pollution; He’ll call on Congress to enact fiscal reform that recognizes that the deficits and debt exploded the last decade before the President took office. He’ll propose measures to deal with the costs of bringing the economy back from the brink of a depression and call on Congress to engage in the bi-partisan work required to address the debt that was accumulated in the last decade. He’ll ask Congress, Democrats and Republicans, to continue the work on health reform. He’ll remind all members that premiums will continue to rise; businesses will continue to drop coverage and more families will deal with insurance company abuses if we don’t act. The President will also speak directly to the American people and to Congress about changing the way business is done in Washington so that the American people know that their interests always come before the special interests. He’ll call for more transparency so that the public is always aware of what’s being done on their behalf. The President will talk about his efforts to better protect the American people. After inheriting two wars and a growing terrorist threat, he will review the steps that he has taken to increase the pressure on al Qaeda, and refocus on Afghanistan. He will discuss the progress made in carrying out his plan to end the war in Iraq. And he will announce a new plan to protect the American people from bio-terrorism and infectious disease. The President has renewed America’s alliances and standing in the world. He will preview the progress that we are poised to make as we near completion of a landmark arms control agreement with Russia, and prepare to host a Nuclear Security Summit in April that will rally the world behind the goal of securing all loose nuclear materials. He will also speak about America’s leadership on issues like global economic growth, climate change, and human rights. For over a decade, American families have been working harder and falling further behind. As college become less affordable; retirement savings become less secure; home values plummet; health insurance premiums and co-pays eat into wages and the cost of living explodes, the standard of living for American families continues to decline. While they meet their responsibilities and play by the rules, they have seen the special interests and those with political access in Washington get farther and farther ahead. Rather than seeing policies that encourage responsible behavior, American families have too often seen Washington reward irresponsibility while passing on debt to future generations.
Can Congress De-Fund ACORN? Yes They Can.
After recent revelations about systemic problems in ACORN, there has been legislation introduced in Congress to stop taxpayer funds from being appropriated for ACORN. Some on the left, and even the Congressional Research Service, claim this effort would amount to an unconstitutional Bill of Attainder.
The Heritage Foundation is certainly concerned that we follow the rule of law and the Constitution. However, Heritage legal analyst Hans Von Spakovsky writes, “There is no basis for a court to overcome the presumption of constitutionality of the Act and rule otherwise.”
Read the entire legal analysis here.
What Health Care Bill?
This week the Senate Finance Committee will conclude its consideration of health care reform. Unfortunately, Senator Baucus (D-MT) did not release any actual bill text, but only a 200+ page “summary” of the legislation. So, the committee is not considering what any legislative language actually would do, but the interpretation of the committee staff as to what it would do. We cannot even ask the Senators if they have read the bill because there isn’t even a bill to read yet.
In the Committee meeting, Sen. John Kerry ridiculed efforts to require a bill to be read before it’s voted on saying, "I mean, let's be honest about it . . . most people don't read the legislative language."
Next week the Senate is likely to consider a new bill that incorporates elements from the Finance Committee passed “bill” and the Senate health (known as HELP) committee bill. In a parliamentary maneuver, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) currently intends to first vote to bring up the AIG bonus tax penalty bill the House of Representatives passed earlier this year. He will then substitute the still unseen health care reform bill after he secures the 60 votes he needs to bring it up for debate. Once it is up for a debate, it only takes 50 votes (plus Vice President Biden) to pass it.
If it sounds confusing, that’s because it is! To read more about this plan, click here.
This probably leaves you wondering, should we really institute a government takeover of 1/6th of our economy through legislative slight of hand that hides the actual bill till after the first critical vote is taken?
For links to all the recent work of The Heritage Foundation on health care, visit www.fixhealthcarepolicy.com
For links to our recent health care Foundry blog posts click here.
Global Warming Tax is Coming Back
This week Senators Barbara Boxer and John Kerry have introduced a new version of the so-called “cap and trade” legislation. The legislation is projected to be largely similar to the bill the House passed earlier this summer, but Sens. Boxer and Kerry will pick different winners and losers in the allocation of CO2 credits.
To see the impacts of a global warming tax on you click here.
Congress Stops DC School Choice: Nearly 3,000 DC Students and Parents Protest
At a rally within sight of the Capitol yesterday, participants asked Congress and the Obama Administration to “Put Kids First.” This rally was in response to a recent decision to end the DC Opportunity Scholarship program, including denying 216 children who had already been admitted to the program from enrolling at all. Moreover, unless changes are made, students currently in the program will not all be funded through graduation.
Foreign Policy in Focus
The Obama Administration recently decided to pull back from the need to build a missile defense shield in Eastern Europe and to reconsider our strategy in Afghanistan.
Yet, the most disturbing quote of the week came from Secretary of State Hillary Clinton who offered a big pat on the back to China,
“I would like to extend warm wishes and congratulations to the People’s Republic of China on the 60th anniversary of its founding on October 1. In the last 30 years, China has undergone an extraordinary economic transformation, lifting millions of people out of poverty. This is truly an historic accomplishment. The United States is pleased that this year also marks the 30th anniversary of U.S.-PRC diplomatic relations. We are committed to building a positive, cooperative and comprehensive relationship that reflects the deepening ties between our two countries and enhances the security and prosperity of all our people.”
This statement in support of a communist regime comes as we approach the 20 year anniversary of the fall of the Soviet empire. Heritage has not forgotten what a communist regime can do to its people. That is why we are pleased to host the Gulag Collection - 50 compelling paintings of life and death inside the Soviet Union's notorious prison camps. If you’re in Washington, DC, I hope you’ll set aside time to stop by and view this important exhibit. The paintings will be on display weekdays through mid-November.
Earlier I posted that the metro riders number for 9/12 was missing (I have a screen shot). Magically this afternoon, the Metro riders number for 9/12 appeared.
I was going to compare the past two Saturday for riders, but since Labor Day intervened, thus ending Summer (and since there was a dramatic drop from the Saturday before Labor Day last year to the Saturday after), I think it is a more accurate comparison to look at the past two years.
On 9/12/09, 437,624 people rode the metro. (here)
By comparison, on the Saturday after Labor Day in 2008, 202,528 rode the metro. (here)
The difference is 235,096.
Even if no one else came in to the March (and we know they did by bus and by car), the theory that only 70,000 people were there is off by roughly 335%.
_____________________
For fun, I also looked at the inauguration. Estimates for that attendance are between 800,000 and 1.8 million. Let’s just look at the average for purposes of the initial discussion – 1.3 million.
If you compare Metro riders between Martin Luther King Day 2008 (the similarly situated federal holiday in DC compared to 2009) and Inauguration Day 2009, approximately 975,000 additional people rode metro for the Inauguration.
If you compare 975,000 additional metro riders as a percentage of the 1.3 million total who attended and you do the same for 235,000 additional metro riders for the 9/12 March, than at least 313,000 attended on 9/12 (assuming a similar percentage of attendees took buses, cabs, drove in, etc).
If you believe the number was 1.8 million at the Inauguration and you do the same for 9/12, then the number is 433,000.